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GET FREE ACCESS NOW!Capital & Conflict – brought to you by Fortune & Freedom HYDE PARK, LONDON – I have some bad news. Actually, it’s not that bad. It’s just a change. But it is something you should be aware of as a…
MARYFIELD, DUNDEE – Named “Fundee” by some, and “Scumdee” by others, the bonny city of Dundee has a polarising nature. I used to come here quite often when I was younger to visit friends who were studying at the universities…
SOMEWHERE ON THE ABERDEEN-LONDON LINE – I hope you had a good Easter. With the Ides of March now over and the re-opening now imminent (hopefully), we wonder what delights await investors in the second quarter of 2021. A couple…
ABERDEEN, SCOTLAND – Who would you trust more? A bond investor telling you they feel something is off… or a stock investor telling you everything is hunky-dory? You’ll often hear it said that “bond guys are smarter that stock guys”…
ABERDEEN, SCOTLAND – A short note from me today -there’s a project I’m working on behind the scenes that demands much of my attention. We’re keeping it under wraps at the moment, but I’m looking forward to sharing it with…
ABERDEEN, SCOTLAND – You won’t come across something like this every day. Of that, I’m almost certain. Here at Southbank Investment Research, the editorial team like to do a lot of reading – especially on fringe financial subjects which may…
Selling is the dark art of investing. Whether you’re watching CNBC, reading the financial news, or listening to your broker, you’ll hear about what you should buy. Buy this stock, buy that market, buy, buy, buy. But you almost never…
Earlier this year I spotted that in 2020, solar and wind generated more electricity in Texas than coal. Since 2015, the amount of wind-generated electricity has more than doubled in Texas, and last year 23% of the state’s power came…
When Steve Morrow came across an online auction advertising the “urgent sale” of a hen for the poultry sum of NZ$1.50 (£0.78), he thought he’d found himself a bargain. It wasn’t until he received a message from the seller asking…
ABERDEEN, SCOTLAND – Is it just me, or was that an incredibly long January? Hogmanay feels forever ago (though I’m sure it feels even longer than that for those who braved Dry January). A month can be an awfully long…
ABERDEEN, SCOTLAND – They’re calling it “The Capital Riot”. Over the pond, millennial militias are on the prowl. It’s patriotism run amok. They’re hunting down, brutalising and bankrupting all those suspected of committing the most anti-American activity of them all……
ABERDEEN, SCOTLAND – A reader writes in: I read your posts and you are often on the mark – thank you! I wonder if you have written about Tesla. To me this appears to be the greatest bubble of them…
ABERDEEN, SCOTLAND – “One of the greatest risks in investing is crowding. Where there is hype, there is danger. That’s not just for bitcoin, but true for financial markets. Turn that idea on its head, and the contrarian starts hunting…
ABERDEEN, SCOTLAND – Anybody bought a new car recently? I don’t know anybody who’s used the lockdowns as an auto-shopping opportunity, but there’s gotta be some out there… I was struck by a statistic published recently that car sales fell…
To paraphrase Oscar Wilde, “We have really everything in common with America nowadays, except, of course, the stock market.” If you’d looked at only the value of the S&P 500 last year, you wouldn’t have thought the country was in…
I hope you’ve been enjoying some of our festive content while our office is shut for the holidays. Rest assured, normal service shall resume in January – but for today, I’d just like to wish you a very happy Hogmanay….
I hope this email finds you enjoying the festivities in good health. I won’t distract you long – just a quick note from me to wish you a very Merry Christmas. This year has been eventful to say the least,…
So it turns out worldwide lockdowns are pretty bad for the economy. Who knew? Bearing the brunt of this, of course, are commodity prices. For them, 2020 has been a bloodbath. Oil briefly dipped below 0USD per barrel for the…
SODERMALM, STOCKHOLM – Could this be a punter’s paradise? Goldman Sachs thinks we’re in one. Its list of stocks loved by the everyman is up nearly 70% since May, which would suggest that the “little guy” is having a big…
SODERMALM, STOCKHOLM – “So Pfizer waits until two days after a disputed election is “called” for Biden and six days after the election itself to release details [of a vaccine] they’ve probably had for weeks? Well, nothing to see here…”…
SODERMALM, STOCKHOLM – Not a mask in sight. The pubs and restaurants are busy – often full. But the teetotaller lobby in government has a monopoly on the sale of all booze above 3.5% ABV, and taxes it to high…
And the results are in! Sort of. If, like me, you’ve been endlessly refreshing the news since Tuesday night, then you’re probably pretty keen to see the final results of what has been an extraordinary election. Votes are still being…
TERMINAL 1, MANCHESTER AIRPORT – Remember, remember, the fifth of November… or don’t. Her Majesty’s government certainly seems to be having trouble with it. It’s ironic that tomorrow’s lockdown across England kicks off on Guy Fawkes Day. Especially now that…
ECCLESHALL, STAFFORDSHIRE – Prior to his presidency, way back in 2015, Donald Trump tweeted – amongst many other things – that it is “often to your advantage to be underestimated”. (Not “misunderestimated” of course – you’d have to ask George…
THE ROYAL OAK, STAFFORDSHIRE – “A Tory MP, a Labour MP and an SNP MP go into a pub. And shut it down.” – Tim Price Once more into the pubs dear friends, once more. They need the business, the…
ECCLESHALL, STAFFORDSHIRE – “Donald Trump has desecrated the values that make America a beacon to the world. Joe Biden is a good man who would restore steadiness and civility to the White House. If The Economist had a vote, it…
ECCLESHALL, STAFFORDSHIRE – A nice chart to start us off with today. While it’s no surprise where investors have placed their money in the stockmarket this year, the sheer degree to which they have shunned everything except tech stocks is…
THE ROYAL OAK, STAFFORDSHIRE – “Sunshine, on my shoulders, makes me happy…” I doubt John Denver would be very chuffed were he living in the UK these days (or ever), given our weather. But the great musician’s music is likely…
THE KINGS ARMS, STAFFORDSHIRE – “Whenever I tweet, some call it a tirade. Totally dishonest!” – Donald Trump, 11 November 2012 (punctuation adjusted) To some, it is a tirade. To others it is a lullaby, a constant reassurance that a…
THE STAR, STAFFORDSHIRE – “It’s always fun throwing bombs into lakes.” Tim Price is a friend to furore. He made that quip after we finished a conference call for his readers at The Price Report yesterday, and I was commending…
THE RUTLAND ARMS, DERBYSHIRE – “I feel like Adam” reads a message from a friend. “I live in the garden of Eden, but I cannot partake of the fruits…” The fella in question is a university student in Edinburgh –…
THE OLD SMITHY, STAFFORDSHIRE – “Something very important, and indeed society changing, may come out of the Ebola epidemic that will be a very good thing: NO SHAKING HANDS!” – Donald Trump, 4 October 2014 He was ahead of his…
THE ROYAL OAK, STAFFORDSHIRE – “The country is already a powder keg, and now we’ve lost Christmas.” As Danger Zone by Kenny Loggins plays over the pub speakers, Tim Price’s grim email hits all the harder. It’s not a sunny…
THE JUNCTION INN, STAFFORDSHIRE – Once more into the pub dear friends, once more! While we still can… I’m glad I’m not in London at the moment as the new anti-WuFlu measures come into force. Or Scotland for that matter,…
You’ve got to admire the deity who decided the 2020 election needed a twist like this. When news broke Friday that Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg had died, battle lines immediately started being drawn in the fight for her…
THE ROYAL OAK, STAFFORDSHIRE – “Are they going to the Bermuda Triangle?” “Bitchcraft”, a (presumably) pseudonymous Twitter user in Brazil, asks a fair question. With a chart like this, you have to wonder exactly where Singapore Airlines is flying people…
THE KINGS ARMS, STAFFORDSHIRE – “It’s like he’s consistently lucky. Which means there’s something we’re not getting…” So remarked our energy analyst Kit Winder to me the other day (via text). He was describing the performance of Sam Curran, a…
Yesterday was another grim day for markets, with tech tumbling for the third day in a row. Apple lost 6%… each of the other FAANGs lost at least 3%… and Tesla even lost 21% in trading yesterday. The misery spilled…
It’s Kit Winder here. As Will mentioned yesterday, Boaz is away this week so I’m covering for him today and Thursday. Today I want to take a look at one of the key arguments for why gold is rising. I’m…
Just look at this thing: Tripling since the lows of 2016, the mighty Nasdaq index stands tall. The WuFlu has not been a hinderance; quite the opposite. It’s acted as an accelerant, like some kind of performance-enhancing drug. A steroid…
Happy hump day, dear reader. I told you yesterday this poll was coming… Who do you reckon will win the US election? I want to know what the Capital & Conflict readership thinks. I’m not asking who will win the…
Well dear reader, the results are in. This week, we’ve been exploring the prospect of another nationwide lockdown brought about by a second wave of WuFlu. It’s a heavily consequential matter for our lives, let alone our investment portfolios. And…
An old buddy of mine in Aberdeen was formally diagnosed with the WuFlu yesterday. He’s the only person I know to have actually tested positive, and not just exhibited symptoms which led them to conclude they had it. While several…
I must confess dear reader, I had not heard of the band named Spandau Ballet until this week. It was only after I received the rather… cryptic series of texts above that I discovered the group and its 1983 hit…
Ouch. The ol’ business of banking is taking a beating. HSBC is in the process of cutting 35,000 jobs and setting aside $8-$12 billion to absorb losses from WuFlu-related defaults. The popular portfolio holding has now fallen beneath the level…
August already huh, dear reader? The year feels like it’s flying by… and yet the days before lockdown, from January through to March, feel like forever ago. Strange times. I wonder how we’ll look back on 2020 in a few…
“Our founders would not bow before a king. Nor should we bow before the emperors of the online economy.” – David Cicilline, US congressman for Rhode Island The emperors of Apple, Google, Facebook and Amazon appeared before the US House…
Kodak has joined the growing list of companies with spiking stock prices and is perhaps the most surprising of all. What these companies share is a good story, not a great business. In this episode, Boaz Shoshan, Kit Winder and…
Dear reader, I- Hmmm. So, uh… you remember that company that used to make cameras when you were a kid? Kodak? Apparently it uh… makes drugs now. Got three-quarters of a billion dollars as a loan from the US government…
Have you been enjoying the weather, Reader? It’s been a damn rainy few days here in London – though it sounds like it’s the rest of the country that’s really got drookit. I must confess dear Reader, I’ve been loving…
I was thinking about how it’s a shame we don’t have a new North America to discover. We could send the Royal Navy off to colonise it and then sell it off like John Law did, thereby solving the problem of the national debt. And then it hit me. The world does have such a place…
With Boaz Shoshan otherwise occupied, Southbank’s tech expert Sam Volkering and macro-strategist Nickolai Hubble talked about the news this week. UK GDP plunged by a quarter, before bouncing back less than expected. But what does that really mean? Will gold’s…
What made Russell Napier so interesting is that he stuck with his prediction of prolonged deflation in the face of QE1, QE2, QE3 and so on and so forth. While many financial analysts were worrying about hyperinflation, let alone inflation, Napier said we’d see a lack of inflation. And he was right.
Back in early April when lockdown was stretching out before us like a vast expanse, I noted in this letter just how good it would finally be to have a freshly poured pint at a pub. With the pubs now…
Happy hump day, Reader, And what a hump it is that we’re cresting. Charlie Morris, who had billions of pounds under his management when he was head of absolute returns at HSBC, described Tuesday to be “a memorable day in…
The year of our Lord two thousand and twenty just keeps on delivering the goods. Remember this chart of Tesla I showed you a month ago (A Looney Tune you don’t want to miss – 10 June)? Source: me, on…
A buddy of mine has had enough – he’s getting out of here. It was the first time we’d seen each other since the lockdown began. I could tell he was somewhat different when I met him, and not just…
A few weeks back on our market broadcasts we discussed how the cybersecurity sector was booming amid the lockdown. I use interest in the $HACK ETF to gauge interest in the sector, and it’s now reached all-time highs, up over…
Is this what a market top looks like? Source: Hao Hong, on Twitter When watching the market becomes not just a recreational, but a relaxing activity… you have to assume that the market must have moved in a direction which…
I asked you last week how it might be possible to buy four pints of bitter and fish and chips with change to spare from a single pound coin. Many of you wrote in with the answer I had in…
It was the best of times, it was the worst of times, it was the age of wisdom, it was the age of foolishness, it was the epoch of belief, it was the epoch of incredulity, it was the season…
It felt odd going back to the pub after three months of drinking in private. But it got much weirder after a stranger began speaking to me about my hat. I was standing in the queue outside with my girlfriend….
Guess when this magazine cover was printed: Any ideas? Bloomberg bought BusinessWeek at the end of 2009, and the design is clearly quite dated… but pretty much all of those stories could be written today. Billions are flowing into index…
Presumably you are older now than you were in the 70s… Well, in today’s podcast, we explore what a return to inflation would mean – whether its effects on your life would differ to the last bout Britain went through….
Two more days. Just two more days until the pubs open. Anticipation keeps building for a return to pub life. But when the doors finally do open on Independence Day… how expensive will a pint be? During the lockdown, we’ve…
Happy hump day, reader, To the reader who is asking, I am indeed in need of a shave. But back to that in a minute. I always enjoy looking through my mailbox to read your feedback on my scribblings (for…
We had a hut by the river with my brother Chekaren. We were sleeping. Suddenly we both woke up at the same time. Somebody shoved us. We heard whistling and felt strong wind. Chekaren said, ‘Can you hear all those…
The pubs beckon. Independence Day awaits. Just a few more days… but a busy few, that’s for sure. And as I mentioned last week, we’re about to publish the monthly issue of The Fleet Street Letter Monthly Alert on the…
We’ve been writing about inflation this week. About that brutally destructive force, the bane of savers and investors alike, but especially cruel to the poorest in our society. It’s currently being administered to the everyman in a dose that’s just…
Go to the fringes of the investing world and you will find individuals with unconventional approaches, strong alternative opinions, or both. There are various topics around which these strong opinions are formed: gold, the accuracy of various economic schools of…
Most of those in political office, quite understandably, are firmly against inflation and firmly in favor of policies producing it. (This schizophrenia hasn’t caused them to lose touch with reality, however; Congressmen have made sure that their pensions – unlike…
1963. The decade that would be remembered as the swinging 60s had begun to earn its namesake. ‘63 saw the release of The Beatles’ first album (Please, Please Me), The Rolling Stones’ first single (a cover of Chuck Berry’s Come…
Make way, dear reader, make way! Make way… For King Benjamin Franklin! Behold, there he strides, in all his greenbacked glory… The US attracts all manner of international condemnation these days – criticism of its culture, of its endless wars…
As lockdown has dragged on and on, some folks have been hankering for a big ol’ fireworks display when it’s finally over. It’s quite understandable, especially for those in high-pressure jobs. Stuck alone indoors breathing stagnant air, you couldn’t really…
My colleague Nickolai Hubble has always told me one of the joys he has in his role in publishing his research is seeing his predictions play out in the news months later. It’s something I expect James Allen has been…
A new week begins, full of central bank announcements from the Bank of England to the Bank of Japan. Right on time too, as volatility appears to be returning to the stockmarket with a vengeance… In today’s episode, Nickolai and…
There’s a lot of trash in the European banks. A lot of loans that shouldn’t have been made. Loans where there hasn’t been a payment of interest or principal for… well, a while. Best not dwell on that. Let’s just…
Why have bankrupt companies become some of the biggest performers in the stockmarket in recent weeks? Could Robinhood, the trading app popular amongst kids in the States, be swooping in to save the day with a bailout of millennial capital?…
“I know this defies the law of gravity, but I never studied law!” – Bugs Bunny in High Diving Hare (1945) You might think that when a company starts exploring the possibility of declaring bankruptcy, that its share price would…
We went from a 2008 collapse to a 1999 stock bubble in under three months. – Chris Cole, Hedge fund manager earlier in the week Late last year, our publisher Nick O’Connor asked all of us editors at Southbank Investment…
“I do love the beginning of the summer hols,” said Julian. “They always seem to stretch out ahead for ages and ages.” “They go so nice and slowly at first,” said Anne, his little sister. “Then they start to gallop.”…
A quick heads up: our broadcast schedule is changing slightly from this week forwards – we’re shifting from a daily broadcast to three per week. With a more streamlined schedule, we hope to provide you with more incisive content going…
Another week of chaos begins… With any luck, we’ll be able to go to the pub again soon – provided we identify as protestors first, of course. How times change. It wasn’t long ago that self-righteous moralists declared that flouting…
“Gold. Gold beyond measure, beyond sorrow and grief… Behold, the great treasure hoard of Thrór! the global ETF market!” – The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies (2014, script slightly altered) I wasn’t a big fan of the The…
“We are the good guys. We are on the side of angels.” – Jeff Skilling, slightly less than three years prior to his arrest 2020 just keeps on getting better… Jeff Skilling, the former CEO of Enron who was released…
I’m back at the helm of Capital & Conflict and our daily market broadcasts. It’s been good to take a couple days off and get burned to hell by the impressively strong London sun, and indeed to give you a…
It wasn’t all that long ago that the price of a gold sovereign felt stuck around the £250 mark. Some days it’d be cheaper, some days it’d be more expensive… but between mid-2016 until May last year, the market’s idea…
In the meantime, I’d like to show you a note Akhil Patel recently wrote for his subscribers over at Cycles, Trends and Forecasts. It’s about the historical “war cycle” we discussed on Friday’s market broadcast, a topic both fascinating and…
Well there we have it. As we wrote in Tuesday’s note (The Bond girl, the Cuban icon, and the man from Dixieland), we were watching the dollar for its next move. If it broke higher in value, it’d be bad…
It’s time for a look through the postbox. It’s been a while since we’ve had a good rummage through my mailbox at [email protected]. I’ve been somewhat distracted with hosting our daily market broadcasts and all the wild events we’ve seen…
Imagine if the Bank of England started taking to Twitter to make sure we knew what the word recession means – outside of a recession. You might find it strange – ominous, even – that such an institution would suddenly…
Has the storm passed? Are happy days here again? The fella from Cuba with a machete at his waist says so. The Bond girl lounging nearby agrees. But the fella from Dixieland… he’s still got a menacing look in his…
Well here we are [%= :subscriberName(D,Reader) %], Friday again. It doesn’t feel like a week has passed since I was writing to you last Friday. Though longer or shorter, I can’t tell – isolation has made my perception of time…
My perception of time is becoming increasingly distorted by the isolation… but it doesn’t feel all that long since our last bank holiday. Spending every day alone in my flat has made life a blur – as most weeks are…
We had long feared they would come. Watching the monetary corruption spread across foreign lands for so many years now, I guess we all knew, deep down, that they would arrive on British shores eventually. I had hoped we would…
It’s your last chance to celebrate it with a menthol Camel cigarette. From today on, all flavoured cigarettes and rolling tobacco are illegal to sell in this country. Get ‘em while you can. The rationale behind banning menthols is that…
Jerome Powell at the Federal Reserve recently took to television to reassure the world that everything is, indeed, under control Gromit. While the Fed is of course the US’s central bank, his words are globally relevant to investors here in…
Well that’s that dear reader – The Halvening has happened. Block 630,000 was mined yesterday just after 8pm. The long-awaited block of transactoions only took 20 seconds in the end. It’ll be another few years before we see the next…
“Realise your youth while you have it. Don’t squander the gold of your days, listening to the tedious, trying to improve the hopeless failure, or giving away your life to the ignorant, the common, and the vulgar. These are the…
It’ll be a short note from me today, as I’m just off to write my segment of The Fleet Street Letter Monthly Alert… right after I finish today’s market broadcast with our tech investing specialist Sam Volkering. Further to yesterday’s…
A rather long note today. If you want to get right to The Two Thrones of the global economy, skip down to the next heading. If you want to meander down some rabbit holes with me first, just keep on…
Monday again, and we’re back in business. A new week beckons – and if it’s even a quarter as dramatic as last week, we’re in for a hell of a ride. While the crazy action of last week was contained…
Friday at last… I think. I find it hard to tell these days. All this staying at home has made the days a blur, I wouldn’t have been able to say it was Friday without checking. I often work on…
Too much oil is one thing… but no beer production is something else entirely. Some of the largest breweries in the world are facing a shortage of one crucial element required to brew their nectar. If left unchecked, a beer…
Oil creates the illusion of a completely changed life, life without work, life for free. Oil is a resource that anaesthetises thought, blurs vision, corrupts… – Shah of Shahs, Ryszard Kapuściński (1982) Times have changed an awful lot since 1982….
The oil price in the US began Monday at $12. That’s pretty low. … But that didn’t stop it falling by 300% just a few hours later. Yes, you’re reading that right. The price of the most important commodity in…
I’m taking a short break from hosting our daily market broadcasts this week. My colleague Kit Winder will be hosting it in the meantime, focusing on how the WuFlu will permanently change the energy market. He’s never hosted a podcast…
Nobody wants to talk about this asset… but it’s been performing incredibly well during these wild times. It’s been in a bull market for years now. It wasn’t shook at all during the brutal March we’ve just had – indeed,…
Amid the WuFlu chaos… The escalating and ever more visible Second Cold War… The fiendishly volatile stockmarket… And as we all slowly go insane in isolation… We take a moment here in lockdown to admire something shiny in the sunlight….
Some 14 years ago, a cartoonist called Andy Riley published a book called Loads More Lies to Tell Small Kids, a sequel to Great Lies to Tell Small Kids. I distinctly remember one illustration which claimed Lego blocks are social…
“If you’ve seen one, you’ve seen ‘em all.” While this old saying may be true of Marvel films, it sadly does not apply to financial crises. They never arrive exactly the same way as they have in the past –…
Southbank Investment Research is shut today, but with everything going on out there and as it’s Eastertime, I thought we should send out something special in today’s note instead of my normal scribblings. Following the strong feedback we’ve had for…
Happy Easter Monday! I hope you’ve been enjoying the break as much as you can in these circumstances. I’ve been taking the time to get my thoughts in order, do some reading, and listen in to what the folks at…
An old buddy of mine contacted me yesterday asking what stocks he should buy now that the market has turned down. This very same friend contacted me at the very end of the crypto bull market to tell me he…
The ability of a gyroscope to remain stable no matter the forces at play around it has immense value. That perpetual stability – rain or shine, chaos or serenity – has allowed engineers to create ever more complex systems around…
Who would win in a fight: former president of the European Central Bank, Mario Draghi… or freshly anointed governor of the Bank of England, Andrew Bailey? I asked a few colleagues and contacts which of the central bankers they reckoned…
Somebody just got air-ambulanced nearby. The red chopper flew low over the rooftops with a mighty whirr, closer than any other aircraft I’ve seen whilst living here. All anyone could do is watch it through their windows like some metropolitan…
Oil kindles extraordinary emotions and hopes, since oil is above all a great temptation. It is the temptation of ease, wealth, strength, fortune, power. – Shah of Shahs, Ryszard Kapuściński (1982) The chart speaks for itself. Source: me, on Twitter…
Is it just me, or did the day the pubs shut feel like an incredibly long time ago for you too? Seems like months since I’ve had a freshly poured pint in my hand. Let me tell you, when this…
I told you about the dearth of dollars in the global financial system yesterday. It’s a dynamic which threatens to cause chaos in the global financial system – especially in countries that don’t use dollars – and is already raising…
Back when WuFlu was just a twinkle in some bat-eating deviant’s eye, I thought it’d be worth giving Seattle a visit. A reassuringly rainy area of the developed world with a strong beer culture and a view of the Pacific…
Remember when some fella attacked the bull sculpture on Wall Street with a banjo last year? We mentioned it in this letter at the time – The banjo player and the bull market golden calf (10 September 2019). We wondered…
You ever watch an American TV show or film and think they overdo it with the music? Just smothering scenes in slow piano when they’re trying to spur emotion in the viewer? I felt that when I was watching an…
I wish I was in Dixie, Hooray, Hooray In Dixieland I’ll take my stand, to live and die in Dixie Away, Away, Away down South in Dixie… – “I Wish I Was in Dixie” (1850s) You wouldn’t expect an old…
I’m sorry for not getting in touch with you about this sooner. What’s going on here is really quite something. Last week I wrote about how the price of precious metals and the cost of actually acquiring them are decoupling,…
Well that was it, dear reader. “Whatever it takes” indeed. Mario Draghi’s statement, which is credited with saving the euro back in the sovereign debt crisis, has been taken to heart – and to market – by the Federal Reserve….
“You’ll find, young man, the future looks rosier through the bottom of a glass.” – The Three Musketeers by Alexandre Dumas With the pubs shut, British investors are going to have a harder time imagining a rosy future – right…
If you’ve been listening to our daily market broadcasts this week, you’ll have heard Charlie Morris’s unbridled optimism in the . To close us off for this week, he penned this note for me recently on what’s going on in…
I asked Tim Price to write today’s Capital & Conflict, as he’s just the man you want in your corner during a market panic like we’re witnessing now. Tim has won awards as a fund manager for his defensive investing style, and…
The call to prayer rings out from the Grand Mosque in Kuwait City. The familiar melody echoes out from the tall minaret on to the shimmering Arab city of flat sandy roofs and white cars. But this time, it’s different….
The US stockmarket was halted just 30 seconds after opening yesterday. Couldn’t even survive a minute before eating a 7% loss. And that was after the Federal Reserve threw the sink at the problem, cutting interest rates to zero and…
The global stockmarket (MSCI World index, three-year chart) gets a front-row seat to a viewing of Leonardo DiCaprio’s The Revenant “Honestly I think every national politician is going to get CV-19. Their lives are a series of meetings like this,…
Let me be frank. By the time you read this, I have no idea where the market will be for almost any asset. The volatility and speed with which they are moving as I write makes it almost impossible to…
It was only a matter of time. The Bank of England (BoE) took it upon itself to cut interest rates, following the Americans’ example of a double-cut, reducing the BoE base rate by 0.5% down to 0.25%. They’re meeting again…
The CNN Fear & Greed index, which gauges the mood in the US stockmarket from utterly terrified at 0, and scandalously greedy at 100, is currently displaying a reading of… four. Fear is in fashion. But so far, the American…
“This is the best goddam drill the army’s ever put on!” – US Navy sailor at Pearl Harbor after the explosions began The bull market is dead. Long live the bull market. That’s the FTSE 100 well into the bear’s…
So you’ve heard of Big Tobacco… Big Oil… Big Pharma… Big Tech… But what about Big Loo Roll? If anybody’s making a mint from the pandemic panic, it’s the toilet paper manufacturers. The Australians are eating each other over Andrex….
The most powerful bank CEO in the world had to have emergency heart surgery yesterday. I don’t blame him. I was going to write to you about something different today, but the level of sheer stress writhing within the financial…
“How did he die?” “Your contact?” Mr Market?” *nods* “Not well.” – Casino Royale, opening scene (mildly edited) It’s “No Time to Die”… or to risk losing Chinese box office revenue. I may well be proven wrong on this, but…
Felix Rohatyn was a shrewd man. He possessed what he called a “refugee’s sense of value”, which he picked up while on the run from the Nazis. When France was invaded in 1940, his family fled from Paris and embarked…
Another day, another dollar CEO decides they don’t want to be responsible for what happens next. This time it’s the man at the helm of Harley-Davidson ($HOG) who’s joined the group of easy-rider executives cruising into the sunset. What happens…
Many years ago, a lady by the name of Leslie Shook was contacted by a stranger who told her that she’d saved his life. She wasn’t the creator of some new wonder drug. Nor had she recently donated an organ,…
“Artist’s impression” of the global stockmarket after we buy everything the Shoshan-Hubble Inter-market Transnational Easing Scheme of 2020 is implemented and a BoE-financed foreign acquisition boom begins The British Empire, with its pink map and territory equivalent to the surface…
He had killed six men during the past month—or was it a year?—he had forgotten. Time had become curiously telescoped lately. What did it matter, anyway? He knew he had to die some time and had long ago ceased to…
Were you taught about this at school? Source: britishempire.co.uk This likely reveals a lot about my age, but I only discovered that maps of the British Empire were illustrated in pink relatively recently. For those as uninformed as myself, this…
Today’s letter comes from Eoin Treacy, who wanted to expand on a crucial flaw in the UK economy which he believes will drive. It all comes down to a simple metric so basic that’s it’s often overlooked – despite its…
In November 2008, in the churning black depths of the global credit crisis, Prime Minister Gordon Brown decided it was time for a trip. Leaving the winter weather and Downing Street behind, he charted a course for sunnier, sandier climes,…
What lethal goods were Harold Wilson, Margaret Thatcher, and Tony Blair all keen on selling to one particular client while they were in Downing Street? The three make for strange company. But their political differences – Wilson’s price fixing, Thatcher’s…
It’s that time again. Time for beer where beer is due – to a switched-on subscriber who can crack the investment theme that answers a riddle. But this time, we’re trying something slightly different. I’m not going to ask you…
Gold manipulation. Not many people want to talk about it. And those that do, are generally far removed from where the manipulation they claim is actually taking place. Last week, we noted the interesting incidence of gold breaking away and…
Have you watched Treadstone on Amazon Prime by any chance? It’s a spin-off TV series from the Jason Bourne series of films. It’s not quite the same as watching Matt Damon pulverise legions of CIA/FSB foes without any equipment, but…
I’ve something special for you this fine Sunday. While you don’t normally receive my daily notes here at Capital & Conflict over the weekend, today we’re making an exception – we’ve received some valuable intelligence straight from “Corona-land” that’s worthy…
King of Thieves, released in 2018, is a film about the Hatton Garden heist that took place three years prior. It had a lot going for it when it was released, with an all-star cast led by Michael Caine. However,…
This chart may not look all that important… Source: Bloomberg … but it is. Let me tell you why. That line represents the amount of gold held by certain investors. It’s just hit an all-time high – an important story…
Cats and dogs litter the pavement. Their small fluffy bodies are contorted into unnatural positions, limp and lifeless. A rumour went around that pets might be carriers for the coronavirus, and their owners threw them from their apartment windows high…
There are always wars of opinion within the investment community – it’s a difference in views that makes a market after all. The more long term the issue is, the more likely you will find a binary split where two…
What I’m about to share with you is something subscribers to The Fleet Street Letter Monthly Alert asked us to make public. While I normally enjoy my job, what I’m about to link to in today’s note has most certainly…
Our ride on the “₿ullet Train” continues. This sure as hell isn’t a sleeper journey – if you doze off on this ride it might wipe you out… The bitcoin price over the last few days has been going at…
Between 3pm and 6.30pm on Monday, three and a half billion quid’s worth of BTC was transacted over the bitcoin blockchain. Nobody knows who it was or what it was for. And as every transaction verified by the bitcoin miners…
Well. Source: wolfstreet.com Well, well, well. We mentioned yesterday that Tesla ($TSLA) was going parabolic. Turns out that buying the share when the price was already vertical was actually a good idea. “If it keeps going, it will pierce the…
So the Chinese Communist Party ram £130 billion worth of stimulus into its financial system in a day… It makes it illegal for major shareholders in companies to sell any stock for six months… It straight up bans people from…
What connects a monument in the Czech Republic… David Bowie… A romance involving a pigeon… The ancestor of the “Marine Lizards” prowling the South China Sea… And an investment of several million dollars (in today’s terms) by JP Morgan in…
“What is it?” “It’s a pie machine, you idiot. Chickens go in, pies come out.” “Ooh, what kind of pies?” “Apple.” “My favourite!” “Chicken pies, you great lummox. Imagine: in less than a fortnight, every grocers’ in the county will…
What’s worse than finding a worm in your apple? Being eaten by it. And I’m not talking about the worm. Bigger than BMW… Volkswagen… Daimler… Adidas… Lufthansa… Siemens… and 24 other titans of the German economy… $AAPL is now bigger…
As strange great swell of sea foam floods through the streets of a town in Catalonia… As warming weather leads to “exceptional breeding conditions” for locusts, and terrible swarms ravage East Africa, threatening famine… As cases of the coronavirus are…
Well that was quick! I was going to send through some additional doctored photographs, but several of you figured it out right away… Yesterday I asked you what historical event brought a motley crew including commodity traders, a US business…
It may be Monday… but that doesn’t mean it isn’t beer o’clock. Don’t worry, I’m not downing pints of Guinness at my desk this fine morning (though that does sound delightful). No, it’s time I put a bottle of my…
A truck chugs slowly through a street in Shanghai, spewing bulbous great clouds of disinfectant powder into tower upon tower of apartment buildings. It’s like the crop duster scene from North by Northwest. Except instead of taking place in a…
If you saved $10,000 (£7,600) a day… … every day… … since the pyramids in Egypt were constructed… … you would now have one fifth the average wealth… … of the world’s five wealthiest people. So says a report called…
“I don’t know why everyone thinks that Lockheed is managed so bad. Because I tell you it is not.” – Daniel Haughton, CEO of Lockheed in 1971. His company was bankrupt and begging the government for a bailout Children named “Max”…
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