Is it time to sell oil and energy shares? FTSE 100 shares got a boost from oil and mining stocks yesterday. But there are 28 days of crude oil supply in inventory, according to data I saw yesterday from Charlie Morris. Charlie currently has an energy trade in The Fleet Street Letter.
The case for higher oil prices is hard to make with sky-high inventories. Without production cuts from the producer’s meeting in Doha later this month, the supply side remains… oversupplied. And there’s nothing on the demand side to suggest a sudden growth boom.
Meanwhile, a follow up to the point I made yesterday. Check out the chart below. It’s the blue and gold lines you’ll want to pay close attention to.
Source: Charlie Morris, The Fleet Street Letter
Using a base of 100 and beginning in 1987, Charlie shows the returns from buying and selling gold with various strategies. The two that work the best are the blue and yellow lines. The yellow line is if you buy and hold gold. The blue line is avoiding gold in the second quarter – when Charlie reckons retail demand falls after Diwali, the Lunar New Year and Christmas.
Category: Economics